Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.154898 0.176784 0.201421 0.231357 0.266947 0.308151 0.359819
2025-07-13 0.121649 0.150493 0.186409 0.235071 0.300303 0.386223 0.510522
2025-07-20 0.102272 0.134159 0.176938 0.239946 0.332879 0.469122 0.692381
2025-07-27 0.089193 0.122472 0.169830 0.244478 0.363760 0.555655 0.907678
2025-08-03 0.080112 0.114282 0.165397 0.250834 0.397416 0.654164 1.178609
2025-08-10 0.072160 0.106251 0.159422 0.252868 0.423474 0.746047 1.474456
2025-08-17 0.065518 0.099146 0.153538 0.253471 0.446470 0.838183 1.812098
2025-08-24 0.059681 0.092478 0.147241 0.251898 0.464540 0.925340 2.181396
2025-08-31 0.054434 0.086104 0.140474 0.248075 0.476932 1.003710 2.570776
2025-09-07 0.051356 0.083023 0.139018 0.254084 0.511384 1.144985 3.230291
2025-09-14 0.047286 0.077737 0.132834 0.249452 0.520853 1.226952 3.757203
2025-09-21 0.044537 0.074520 0.130099 0.251510 0.546551 1.362178 4.582303
2025-09-28 0.041422 0.070382 0.125219 0.248403 0.559616 1.469152 5.405160
2025-10-05 0.039435 0.068168 0.123889 0.253100 0.594491 1.659665 6.814457
2025-10-12 0.037710 0.066276 0.122973 0.258607 0.633310 1.882946 8.690993
2025-10-19 0.036095 0.064435 0.121927 0.263621 0.672365 2.128617 11.095830
2025-10-26 0.034777 0.063053 0.121686 0.270606 0.719685 2.434503 14.511735
2025-11-02 0.033201 0.060997 0.119730 0.272842 0.752911 2.703835 18.290502
2025-11-09 0.031647 0.058850 0.117329 0.273505 0.781417 2.972304 22.827069
2025-11-16 0.030063 0.056507 0.114234 0.271778 0.801429 3.215702 27.924299
2025-11-23 0.028453 0.053983 0.110466 0.267583 0.811615 3.418437 33.334630
2025-11-30 0.027627 0.053081 0.110432 0.274178 0.864829 3.902057 45.205130
2025-12-07 0.026185 0.050721 0.106657 0.269093 0.870983 4.116051 53.842332